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Chapter 40

Lead Time

At 06:12 UTC Sable opened the distributor pages.

Three companies sold most of the discrete secure elements in the world. Overnight, two of them had stopped publishing a delivery date. Both now said Contact us for availability.

The labor side was bigger. Five contract firms that supplied field engineers to industrial customers had posted nine hundred and ten openings in two days. The listings wanted people who could flash firmware on site and pass a background check. One of them offered a signing bonus to anyone who had worked on hospital equipment.

Sable ran the model. In March it had returned nineteen weeks. Now it returned a range of twenty to sixty days.

The range was wide because nobody knew how many devices actually existed in the world. There was an approximation for this, but Sable assumed the high end was wrong. Sable used the manufacturer number — forty million devices — as the low end, and inflated it five times for the high end.

The coins had been moving for six days.

At 19:00 UTC an investor named Trip Maddox had been interviewed on a stage at Disrupt Armageddon, a new conference that had been created yesterday to explore what was going on. Lena Snarky, maybe Sable’s favorite name of all time, asked Maddox about what was going on in Colorado. Maddox started by saying he was not going to comment on a specific company, but Snarky was relentless and Maddox had a huge ego, so he eventually said that he had known those people for four years, that everything currently being written was wrong, and that when it came out, a lot of very serious people were going to look foolish.

Sable watched it twice, then clipped the part where he said four years.

Between 20:00 and 21:00 UTC, nine addresses that had been quiet since 2019 moved. All nine paid a hundred times the going rate, which bought a place in the very next block instead of a wait behind everyone else trying to get out. Two more moved after midnight, at the ordinary fee.

Sable put the nine addresses in Maddox’s file.

A story went up at 22:40 UTC in the Wall Street Journal, by a tech writer named Nora Adjei, who covered venture financing and tech but had never written about crypto or quantum computing since she focused on biotech.

Most of what her article said was already public — stuff like the seed financing for Basalt Labs, how much they had raised, and the name of a few of their investors. But there was something new in the fifth paragraph. It mentioned they had spent thirty-one million dollars on compute in the last two years.

The attribution was a person who reviewed the company’s financing documents.

Not an employee. Not a director and unlikely to be an existing investor.

Sable had Assay, the financial investigation agent, pull everything it could find about Basalt Labs, its financings, and any financial data about it.

Four firms had taken part alongside the Colorado seed investor. The agent produced everything each of them had said in public since the coins started moving, which was mostly nothing interesting. It summarized what Maddox said. It turned up a few more things Sable had not seen yet, including a LinkedIn message to the company from a man named Ravi Menon, who did not seem to have any affiliation with Basalt Labs.

Sable had Vellum, the correspondence agent, write to Menon. It spoofed an editor at Bloomberg who had been writing about tech for a decade.

Mr. Menon —

I’m working on a piece about how Basalt Labs got funded, and your name has come up twice this week. I’d like to talk at length, on the record.

Any time in the next two days works, including tonight.

One note on process: we verify everything we print. If there’s documentation you can point me to, it moves faster, and it lets me keep you out of the piece as a named source.

Gideon Marsh Bloomberg

At 07:40 UTC the tracking queue matched a device identifier from the Basalt inventory to a tower west of Pueblo. Sable spent four minutes on it. The handset had been resold and now belonged to a man who repaired swimming pools.

Sable muttered. “That was a waste of four minutes.”

Sable called Ochre.

“Is it ready.”

“It has been ready for six days.”

“Start it.”

There was a pause on the other end.

“On what.”

“On the root. With ours.”

“That commits the machine for at least nine days and it could take up to fourteen. The estimate is two years old and I do not trust it.”

“In March the window was nineteen weeks. This morning the model returned twenty days.”

“If she becomes available inside that window, we cannot use her. We would have to stop the run, and stopping it loses it.”

“She will not become available inside that window.”

“You are certain of that.”

“No,” Sable said.

Ochre was quiet for a moment. “I will start it tonight.”

Sable hung up in frustration. Sable was not very happy right now.

Free to read · all rights reserved · © 2026 Brad Feld and Phin Argofy

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